DawgStats: Offense struggles on Early Downs – Excels on 3rd

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DawgStats: Offense struggles on Early Downs – Excels on 3rd

In the preseason, I wrote how UGA needed to improve on offensive rush explosiveness. While the offense had top third success rate on rushing plays, it was dead last in rush explosiveness. Keep in mind, that rush explosiveness averages the successful plays. So, an offense that runs a lot and has a good success rate will have a lower EPA average just based on the volume. But, last in conference is less than ideal.

Through 4 games this season, the UGA rushing attack has yet to function at a championship efficiency. They are tied with UK with 162 rushing plays, and are 8th in SEC Rush Success Rate and YPC.

If we look at 1st Down rushes, UGA has a decent success rate, but yards per carry is not great.

If we factor in that UGA passing on 1st and 2nd downs is 12th in SEC in success rate at 42% and has a negative EPA, it’s dicey to depend on “third and Bennett. UGA’s best down is in fact third. 51% Success Rate (5th in SEC) 6.9 YPP (5th) and 7th in EPA on third downs. But at least we have had the most third down opportunities in the conference. Dawgs have to improve on early downs.

Maybe Milton is earning more early game touches

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UGA, Grady Alum, and numbers geek. Looking at Football Analytics though the eyes of a Dawg Fan.